Qi Xiangdong, deputy secretary-general of the China Iron and Steel Association, said at the recently held “2010 China Steel Market Outlook and 'My Steel' Annual Meeting†that China’s crude steel production and apparent consumption will exceed 565 million tons this year. Both set a record high. Overall, this year, the domestic steel industry showed a low-to-high, high-end operating situation. It showed five major characteristics, namely, the obstruction of steel exports, major changes in domestic demand structure, and periodic and interval fluctuations in steel prices.
Qi Xiangdong said that 2009 is a very difficult year for the Chinese steel industry since the new century, and it is also a year that has undergone severe tests in a complex and ever-changing economic environment. Overall, this year's domestic steel industry showed a trend of low and high growth. In the first half of the year, the domestic market demand gradually recovered and steel production resumed rapidly. In the second half of the year, steel production and consumption basically maintained the highest level in the year.
He said that the operation of the domestic steel industry this year shows some distinctive features. First of all, under the huge effect of the national plan to deal with the impact of the international financial crisis, domestic crude steel production and apparent consumption are expected to exceed 565 million tons in the whole year, creating a record high. The deducted inventory factor for actual consumption of crude steel will also exceed 500 million tons. The national package of measures effectively resisted the impact of the shrinking international market demand on the domestic steel industry, and also accelerated the pace of industrialization and urbanization in the country. Industrialization and urbanization are periods of heavy consumption of steel. In October this year, domestic crude steel output reached 1.659 million tons, an increase of 42.4%, equivalent to an annual output of 600 million tons of crude steel.
Second, under the circumstances of economic recession in developed countries and extremely shrinking international market demand, China’s steel exports have been severely hampered, and have shifted from exporting countries to importing countries in previous years. In the first 10 months of this year, China's net exports were converted from 43.28 million tons of crude steel to 400,000 tons of net imports in the same period of 2008. It is estimated that the annual import of blanks will be about 23.8 million tons of crude steel, and the export of blanks will be about 25 million tons of crude steel. ,Flat. In April, May and June of this year, China turned from monthly net exports of steel to net imports, and it began to turn into net exports since July.
The third is that the demand structure of domestic steel products has undergone great changes, and the production of long products and the growth of demand are better than those of sheet metal. In the first 10 months of this year, the ratio of board and pipe in the domestic steel industry was 50.1%, a year-on-year decrease of 3.1 percentage points; the board-to-belt ratio was 35.2%, a year-on-year decrease of 3.6 percentage points; steel production increased 7538.4 year-on-year. Ten thousand tons, of which long products increased by 65.6%. Driven by investment, the increase in steel production this year is mainly due to long products. In the first 10 months, the growth rate of steel output of large-scale enterprises was lower than that of SMEs, and the degree of industrial concentration fell. The output of crude steel production among the top 4 and top 10 companies accounted for 23.8% and 41.3% of the total output, respectively, which was 0.2% and 1.3% lower than the whole year of 2008. The output of crude steel of key large and medium-sized enterprises increased by only 6% year-on-year, and SMEs increased by more than 29%. Large companies, which mainly produce plate products, did not start positive growth until the second half of the year.
The fourth is that the overall market operation is stable, and the steel prices are in a phased and interval-low volatility. In October last year, the steel price fell at an accelerated rate, fell to the 1994 price level, rebounded steadily in mid-November, and by mid-February this year, the average price rose by about 7%. After that, the price continued to fall, and it began to stabilize and pick up in mid-April, September. It began to fall again, and it rebounded slightly in late October. As of the end of November, the domestic comprehensive steel price index stood above 100 points, up 2.03% year-on-year.
The fifth is the sharp decline in the profit level of the steel industry. The profitability of small and medium-sized enterprises, which mainly produce long products, is generally better than that of large enterprises mainly engaged in production of sheet metal. In the first 10 months of this year, 70 large and medium-sized iron and steel production enterprises achieved total industrial output value of 1.67 trillion yuan, a year-on-year drop of more than 20%; sales revenue was 1.77 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.98%; 8.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year drop of more than 70%. By the end of October, 9 of the 70 companies had suffered losses with a loss of 12.9% and a loss of 4.819 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 97%.
Qi Xiangdong said that 2009 is a very difficult year for the Chinese steel industry since the new century, and it is also a year that has undergone severe tests in a complex and ever-changing economic environment. Overall, this year's domestic steel industry showed a trend of low and high growth. In the first half of the year, the domestic market demand gradually recovered and steel production resumed rapidly. In the second half of the year, steel production and consumption basically maintained the highest level in the year.
He said that the operation of the domestic steel industry this year shows some distinctive features. First of all, under the huge effect of the national plan to deal with the impact of the international financial crisis, domestic crude steel production and apparent consumption are expected to exceed 565 million tons in the whole year, creating a record high. The deducted inventory factor for actual consumption of crude steel will also exceed 500 million tons. The national package of measures effectively resisted the impact of the shrinking international market demand on the domestic steel industry, and also accelerated the pace of industrialization and urbanization in the country. Industrialization and urbanization are periods of heavy consumption of steel. In October this year, domestic crude steel output reached 1.659 million tons, an increase of 42.4%, equivalent to an annual output of 600 million tons of crude steel.
Second, under the circumstances of economic recession in developed countries and extremely shrinking international market demand, China’s steel exports have been severely hampered, and have shifted from exporting countries to importing countries in previous years. In the first 10 months of this year, China's net exports were converted from 43.28 million tons of crude steel to 400,000 tons of net imports in the same period of 2008. It is estimated that the annual import of blanks will be about 23.8 million tons of crude steel, and the export of blanks will be about 25 million tons of crude steel. ,Flat. In April, May and June of this year, China turned from monthly net exports of steel to net imports, and it began to turn into net exports since July.
The third is that the demand structure of domestic steel products has undergone great changes, and the production of long products and the growth of demand are better than those of sheet metal. In the first 10 months of this year, the ratio of board and pipe in the domestic steel industry was 50.1%, a year-on-year decrease of 3.1 percentage points; the board-to-belt ratio was 35.2%, a year-on-year decrease of 3.6 percentage points; steel production increased 7538.4 year-on-year. Ten thousand tons, of which long products increased by 65.6%. Driven by investment, the increase in steel production this year is mainly due to long products. In the first 10 months, the growth rate of steel output of large-scale enterprises was lower than that of SMEs, and the degree of industrial concentration fell. The output of crude steel production among the top 4 and top 10 companies accounted for 23.8% and 41.3% of the total output, respectively, which was 0.2% and 1.3% lower than the whole year of 2008. The output of crude steel of key large and medium-sized enterprises increased by only 6% year-on-year, and SMEs increased by more than 29%. Large companies, which mainly produce plate products, did not start positive growth until the second half of the year.
The fourth is that the overall market operation is stable, and the steel prices are in a phased and interval-low volatility. In October last year, the steel price fell at an accelerated rate, fell to the 1994 price level, rebounded steadily in mid-November, and by mid-February this year, the average price rose by about 7%. After that, the price continued to fall, and it began to stabilize and pick up in mid-April, September. It began to fall again, and it rebounded slightly in late October. As of the end of November, the domestic comprehensive steel price index stood above 100 points, up 2.03% year-on-year.
The fifth is the sharp decline in the profit level of the steel industry. The profitability of small and medium-sized enterprises, which mainly produce long products, is generally better than that of large enterprises mainly engaged in production of sheet metal. In the first 10 months of this year, 70 large and medium-sized iron and steel production enterprises achieved total industrial output value of 1.67 trillion yuan, a year-on-year drop of more than 20%; sales revenue was 1.77 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.98%; 8.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year drop of more than 70%. By the end of October, 9 of the 70 companies had suffered losses with a loss of 12.9% and a loss of 4.819 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 97%.
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