“Urbanization is an inevitable trend of modernization, and it is also the general aspiration of the broad masses of farmers. It can not only stimulate huge consumption and investment demand, but also create more employment opportunities. Its direct role is to provide wealthy farmers and benefit people.†Recently, the new Premier of the State Council. Li Keqiang repeatedly mentioned urbanization at the first press conference, stressing that “we must promote economic growth by vigorously promoting urbanizationâ€.
Urbanization is the main driving force behind the rapid economic growth in China for more than 30 years.
In this regard, from the bottom up to the central government to the local government, they are all planning to concentrate on urbanization. Under the urbanization plan, the market potential for transportation and water conservancy construction, housing construction, and logistics and transportation will also be released.
This economic feast triggered by urbanization will benefit many industries, including the commercial vehicle industry. In the face of this huge market cake, the question of where to start becomes a problem for commercial vehicle manufacturers. Due to the different economic conditions in different regions, the focus of development is not the same. If we want to shed light on this issue, we must focus on the planning of urbanization in each locality, and plan for the future.
The temptation of urbanization
On March 6th, Zhang Ping, director of the National Development and Reform Commission, revealed at the press conference on "economic and social development and macro-control" that the National Development and Reform Commission is working with relevant departments to compile China's urbanization development plan. If it is successful, plans may be issued in the first half of this year.
The plan will involve the construction of about 20 urban agglomerations in the country, more than 180 prefecture-level cities and more than 10,000 towns. In accordance with the requirements of “relying on big cities, focusing on small and medium-sized cities, and gradually forming a city group with large radiation effects, and promoting the coordinated development of large, medium and small cities and small townsâ€, the development of urbanization will be transformed from speed expansion to quality improvement.
Specific to the strategic layout of the new urbanization, in the eastern region, we will optimize the urban agglomerations of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei cities, the Yangtze River Delta, and the Pearl River Delta, and gradually create more internationally competitive urban agglomerations; Strong areas, nurturing a number of urban groups.
There have been agencies that have estimated the pull effect of urbanization on the economy: on average, one farmer has become a city resident and the state has spent 400,000 yuan. If 1% of the urbanization rate is used each year, the number of peasants entering the city each year reaches 13 million. People can drive domestic demand of 5,200 billion yuan, which is equivalent to 13% of the 39 trillion yuan of GDP.
Seize the "military order"
Such economic benefits are naturally a huge temptation for local governments. Therefore, despite the fact that planning has not yet been settled, the rate of urbanization has already been written by some local governments into the “military order†of the government.
The “Outline for the Development of Urbanization in Shandong Province (2012 to 2020)†issued by the People’s Government of Shandong Province shows that the urbanization rate of the province is expected to reach 56% by 2015, and the planning of towns and villages in southwestern Guizhou Province (2012) will be published in Yunnan Province. By 2030) and the Planning for the Towns and Cities in Southeast Guizhou (2012 to 2030), it is proposed to build a group of towns along the edge of the Longdong light industry. The goal is to achieve a level of urbanization of about 45% in 2015 and about 65% in 2030.
In the “Twelfth Five-Year†urbanization development plan, the provinces have also formulated their respective urbanization rate indicators: Guangdong Province has proposed to reach 70%, Anhui Province has proposed to strive for 55%, and Henan Province has to increase to 52% or more. The Zhuang Autonomous Region proposed to increase from the current 43.53% to 53%, and Hubei Province has put forward high requirements: from the current 53.5% to 58%.
Strive and move
At the same time, the newspaper also noted that these areas that set urbanization rate targets set high development goals. In the current local government work report issued in 31 provinces and autonomous regions, 24 provinces and districts have set their GDP growth targets at 10% or more this year.
Economic growth indicates that the days of commercial vehicles will be better. In this boom of urbanization, commercial vehicle companies need to stay awake, make decisions and then move on, and identify the market segments to break through one by one.
Some industry analysts believe that the new urbanization will be divided into two phases. The investment focus will be different in each phase. The first phase of investment will focus on infrastructure, housing, and gas pipelines; the second phase of investment will be reflected in rail transit, Aviation, sewage treatment, smart cities involved in the field.
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