More and more car manufacturers and IT companies have joined the ranks of developing autonomous vehicles. It is predicted that by 2030, 8% of the world's cars will be highly intelligent and achieve automatic driving.
In May 2014, Google showed off its first fully-automobile car, which has no steering wheel and accelerator pedal, but has many sensors, lidars and cameras. Baidu also signed a joint research contract with BMW Motors to jointly develop driverless technology and plans to launch semi-autonomous vehicles within three years.
In the face of cross-border competition by IT giants, traditional car manufacturers such as Daimler, GM, Toyota, Volvo, Audi, etc. are actively developing autonomous vehicles and conducting a lot of road tests. For example, in October 2014, Audi Motors began. Testing the Audi RS 7 driverless car, General Motors plans to launch Cadillac driverless models in the market in 2016, while Volvo and Nissan Motors set their time-to-market for driverless cars to 2017 and 2020 respectively. .
According to estimates by Morgan Stanley International Financial Services, traditional automakers have invested at least $10 million in this area.
The first to be promoted is the ADAS advanced driver assistance systems, which detect the dynamics of the vehicle at any time through sensors and cameras, prevent and mitigate the occurrence of collision accidents, and maintain the trajectory and obey the speed limit of the road segment. In early October 2014, Tesla Corporation of the United States developed a device that can read road speed limit sign information and automatically adjust the speed of the vehicle. At almost the same time, Volvo Cars of Sweden showed models that rely on sensors, GPS and other devices to avoid traffic accidents. In addition, Mercedes-Benz Germany is equipped with an auxiliary system that automatically follows the preceding vehicle in low-speed driving conditions such as traffic jams on its Mercedes-Benz S-Class. On the Audi A7, Ford Focus 3, Kia Optima, Volkswagen Golf VII and other models, the automatic parking system is installed. According to Ford Motor Company's plan, it will launch a Mondeo model with radar and sensors installed in 2015 that automatically recognizes pedestrians and avoids collisions.
It is estimated that the market size of ADAS advanced driver assistance systems will grow from the current $6 billion to $25 billion in 2020 and will rise further to $57 billion in 2025.
Auto parts dealers who see the bright future of autonomous vehicles are also taking action. ZF, Germany, agreed in September 2014 to acquire TRW, a company that produces cameras and radars, for $13.5 billion in preparation for the upcoming autonomous vehicle market. After obtaining antitrust and US foreign investment licensing agencies, the M&A deal, which is expected to be completed in the first half of 2015, will make ZF's annual revenue exceed $40 billion. The person in charge of ZF said that the company will increase investment in promoting automated vehicle driving.
There is no such thing. Japan's Panasonic Corporation follows the trend and acquires a 49% stake in Spain's Ficosa Auto Parts Company. It also wants to take a slice of the era of autonomous autopilots.
According to the degree of automation of the vehicle, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration divides it into 0-4, 0 is a vehicle without automation function; 1 is a vehicle with more than one automatic control function; Level 2 is available Vehicles with at least two automation functions; Class 3 is a vehicle that provides limited autopilot functions; Class 4 is a vehicle that fully automates driving.
The optimist view is that the launch of autonomous vehicles will be faster than expected. By 2025, vehicles with the above-mentioned “Level 3†standard of automation will appear on the road in large numbers, with an overall number of more than one million vehicles. By 2035, this number will increase to more than 10 million. After 2050, all the world's sales will be fully automated.
But most analysts believe that the automation of vehicles will not be so fast. By 2030, or only 8% of vehicles will reach the above-mentioned "Level 3" standard, and 92% of vehicles equipped with driver assistance systems will only meet the above-mentioned "Level 2" standards.
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