The development of the Chinese auto industry to this day, from the point of view of the assembly, is the lack of automatic transmission technology. This view was repeatedly mentioned by Fu Yuwu, Chairman of the China Automobile Engineering Society. After more than 10 years of development, the slow development of China's autonomous automatic transmission industry obviously can not satisfy the people of the country. Especially in the best time for many self-owned brand vehicle manufacturers and other manufacturers, the lack of autonomous automatic transmission is not China. One of the most regrettable things in today's booming automotive industry.
People's regrets and dissatisfactions may end in the next two years. Of course, it may just be a comma. Recently, there are some indications in the industry that China’s autonomous automatic transmission industry is about to usher in a turning point in history and related manufacturers will also enter into their own transition period. This report of the China Industry News reporter is not a climax, but comes from the 2014 International Conference on the Industrialization of China's Auto Transmission (CATI鄄IS). In this seminar, several major domestic automotive automatic transmission manufacturers have announced that they have completed the initial stage of batch trial production, and will then enter the critical period of production and sales.
Independent vendors announce high-profile enterprise planning
In terms of automatic transmissions, Hunan Yungda, a professional manufacturer of CVTs , put into operation the first phase of industrialization in 2010 and reached an annual production capacity of 40,000 units. After the technical cooperation with Bosch, it developed a new generation in the later period. High-power density CVTs are currently available on multiple vehicle platforms from SAIC-GM-Wuling and Lifan. In 2015, 30,000 units will be produced and sold, 500,000 units by 2020, and 1.2 million units by 2025. Another Shandong Shengrui Drive, which manufactures advanced 8AT products, has already built a flexible automated production line with an annual output of 100,000 units. Based on the batch matching of Jiangling Landwind and other models, it plans to produce 50,000 units in 2015, and plans to produce an annual output of 2016. 400,000 units will achieve the annual production target of 1 million units by 2020. In the field of automatic transmission for commercial vehicles, the high-power AT or AMT automatic transmission products of Shaanxi Fast Group, Inner Mongolia First Machine Group, Sanjiang Aerospace Industry Group, etc. will also enter the next phase of the industrialization process.
In fact, this does not mean that there have been so many “exotic flowers†​​in the autonomous automatic transmission market. This achievement has been the result of continuous efforts in the gear and transmission industries and enterprises in China in recent years. - The power has come to describe nature.
Then, how does China's own-brand automatic transmission develop? For this, Guo Konghui, academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering and honorary dean of the Jilin University Automotive Engineering Academy, has his insight: the development of Chinese enterprises in the field of parts and components for automatic transmissions. There are three main modes that cannot be separated: one is the independent mode. That is, it is completely separated from the vehicle factory, which is conducive to the specialized division of parts and components companies, to expand the scale of production; is conducive to the formation of parts and components companies and improve product development capabilities; help parts and components companies to absorb external capital and technology, develop an independent development strategy, For multiple models, more manufacturers supporting. The second is the specialization model. By reducing the types of parts and components to produce economies of scale. Specialization, high degree of serialization, technical equipment and less sophisticated, in order to reduce product costs. The third is the joint venture model. China and foreign countries, China-China joint ventures, domestic different industries, different regions and different ownership joint ventures; especially private enterprises and host plants to develop auto parts industry, will have certain advantages in reducing costs.
Of the two autonomous automatic transmission manufacturers just mentioned, Jiang Rong Rongda is a typical representative of private enterprises with independent and specialized Sino-foreign cooperation models, and Shengrui Drive is a typical joint venture of Chinese, Chinese and foreign parties. mode. In addition, Fast in the field of commercial vehicle automatic transmissions is also a Sino-foreign joint venture model. Combining hard work and learning from foreign technologies, the combination of three models or multiple models has been successful in the Chinese automatic transmission market.
Market space can accommodate multiple independent vendors
Speaking of the demand for automatic transmissions in the Chinese automobile market, Guo Konghui pointed out that the importance of automatic transmission industrialization, that is, current automobile energy saving is the most important challenge. He believes that automatic transmission is an important energy-saving technology second only to engine technology in automotive energy-saving technologies. From the perspective of the market development of China's auto automatic transmission, in recent years, it has grown at an annual rate of over 30%, and foreign-funded joint ventures have produced and imported. Automatic transmission has long been the absolute mainstream of the market. On the other hand, from the perspective of changing people’s driving habits, there are more and more new players on the market, especially women’s drivers who like to buy or drive automatic models. Guo Konghui particularly emphasized that the autonomous automatic transmission has not yet been fully industrialized and is still facing key issues. Such as self-developed product reliability and durability verification of the entire vehicle matching and calibration, mass production of product quality consistency assurance ability, market development and after-sales service, such as the ability to respond quickly.
Dr. Xue Dianlun, a well-known expert in the automotive transmission field and chairman of Jiangsu Jinrun Automotive Transmission Technology, spoke of the heavy reliance on imported or joint-venture brands from China’s automatic transmissions. He emphasized that over 60% of the current joint-venture brand passenger cars are automatic transmissions, but all are Foreign-funded automatic transmissions (imported, foreign-owned wholly-owned or joint-venture production), and its own brand passenger car automatic transmission loading rate is only about 10% (of which 80% are foreign-backed automatic transmissions). According to the calculation of the loading rate of China's future automatic transmissions by 50% to 60%, the annual demand for automatic transmissions will reach 15 million to 18 million units in the future.
In terms of market space, Dr. Yuan Mingang, vice president of the Huatai Automobile Group and dean of the Transmission Research Institute, also gave his own opinion: The total number of passenger vehicles loaded with automatic transmissions in China will surpass half of the manual transmissions from 2014 to 2015. The total number will reach 9 million units. Also, according to the current joint venture brand, which accounts for more than 60% of the market share, and the self-owned brand, which only accounts for 10% of the market, the potential market demand is about 6.5 million units if each autonomous automatic transmission is more realistic. When the factory reaches the volume supply, the annual production and sales will be 500,000 units, and the market will accommodate multiple autonomous automatic transmission companies at the same time, and there will be no worrying situation without market space.
Speaking of the relatively weak basis of the industrialization of autonomous automatic transmissions, Xue Dianlun analyzed that the assembly technology and key parts manufacturing technologies, processes, and equipment are backward, and the production scale of core parts and components companies is relatively small. This is a comparison between domestic and foreign companies. The root of the big gap. However, he also pointed out that with the launch of the automatic transmission products of Jiangrong Yungda, Shengrui Drive, Chery and Geely, a group of domestic core component suppliers cultivated accordingly, such as Jiangsu Jinrun and Tianjin Tianhai, were simultaneously Zhejiang Anrui, Hangzhou Xiaoshan Dongfang Hydraulics and Hunan Oil Pump have been rapidly developed, and the supporting conditions of the industrial chain have been greatly improved and improved.
On the basis of industrialization that has already improved greatly, Ma Wulin, general manager of Jiang Rong Yung Da, said that in 2014, the company completed the benchmarking with the famous BVC product of CVT and realized the upgrade of performance and quality; in 2015, the company’s products Will be comprehensive with the world's first CVT manufacturer Gat can be benchmarked, and further pursue the quality of world-class products; on this basis, Jiang Rong Rongda to achieve the goal of CVT manufacturers China's first brand.
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