As of October 2011, a total of 9,288 new energy buses were put into operation nationwide, a long way from the goal of investing 24,220 vehicles nationwide at the end of 2012, and only completed 38.15%. Among the 25 demonstration cities, 10 cities have achieved completion rates of more than 50%, accounting for only 40% of the total number of cities, and as many as 14 cities with completion rates below 30%. "A few days ago, at the "Global New Energy Vehicle Conference", the "2011 China New Energy Bus Demonstration and Operation Survey Report" released by the organizer "First Electric Network" was displayed.
“40% is already an overestimated figure, and 30% of actual completion is satisfactory.†An industry expert who participated in a survey of new energy vehicle demonstration cities organized by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said that although demonstration cities have expressed In 2012, he wants to increase horsepower to promote electric vehicles, but he thinks it is very difficult.
At the forum, Yang Yusheng, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, stated that the “Energy Conservation and New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2011-2020)†that the State Council met and discussed shortly before was still not approved, and further revisions are required.
The unsatisfactory demonstration projects of the early stage, the hesitation of the central government's attitude, and the repeated delays in the overall guidance and planning caused the demonstration projects of the “10 cities and 1,000 vehicles†energy-saving and new energy vehicles started in 2008 to reach the intersection. “Whether it is the attitude of the central government, the enthusiasm of local governments to participate in, or the maturity of product technology and the follow-up of infrastructure and facilities, there is great uncertainty,†said the industry expert.
Demonstration performance is not ideal The demonstration project of “10 cities and 1,000 vehicles†energy-saving and new energy vehicles started at the end of 2008 has undergone the 2009-2010 participation in the city's vigorous launch ceremony and the establishment of a new energy automobile industry alliance, and it has actually been implemented in 2011. But it cooled down.
Before the discussion session of the “Global New Energy Vehicle Conference†began, the host conducted a random survey at the site to investigate the participants’ satisfaction with the progress of the new energy automobile industry in the past year. As a result, about 60% of the people were dissatisfied with the choice.
The survey results of the 2011 China New Energy Bus Demonstration Operation Survey also showed that in the 25 cities participating in the demonstration of energy-saving and new energy vehicles, nearly 20,000 new energy vehicles had been declared and promoted at the beginning, and the actual number of new energy vehicles was only about 6,500. The target completion rate is only 38%. And of the more than 6,000 vehicles put into operation, most of them are hybrid buses, and the proportion of pure electric buses is very low.
According to the report, by the end of 2011, only five demonstration sites in Shanghai, Hangzhou, Shenzhen, Hefei (in early December, 1,000 new energy vehicles were put into emergency use) and Changsha, Zhuzhou and Xiangtan areas had completed the promotion of 1,100 new energy vehicles. Of these, only Shanghai and Shenzhen have long maintained a level of over 1,000 new energy vehicles on the road. The promotion of 15 cities is less than that of Linyi City, Shandong Province, which is not within the range of “Ten Cities and 1000 Vehiclesâ€.
The survey found that the subsidy intensity of energy-saving and new energy vehicles varies greatly among demonstration cities, and the subsidies for new energy vehicles in cities such as Shenyang, Nantong, Hefei, and Dalian are higher than those of the central government, and they even bear state subsidies. The cost of all the components of the model; and some demonstration cities have almost no contribution to the purchase of new energy vehicles, such as local finance, such as Tianjin, there is no local subsidies for the purchase of new energy vehicles, Hangzhou, the proportion of subsidies for the purchase of new energy bus local finance is only the state financial subsidies 6%; In some regions such as Chengdu and Hohhot, only purchase intentions have been reached at present, and no explicit local government subsidy measures have yet been established.
The survey results also show that local protectionism is very serious in the demonstration and promotion of energy-saving and new energy vehicles. Demonstration of operating cities, new energy bus procurement is mostly local government-led, not open enough, 25 of the model cities, nearly half of the cities directly designated procurement of local vehicle products. Where bidding is used, the bidding method is not transparent and transparent, and local enterprises are often given priority.
The above experts participating in the “Ten City Thousand Vehicles†demonstration city survey showed that the actual situation is more optimistic than the report shows. Not only the target completion rate is low, but also the product reliability, operation methods, and replacement of supporting infrastructure are all aspects. Many problems have been discovered. "We did not discover until the specific demonstration operation. There are still many problems to be solved in order to bring new energy vehicles to market."
Chen Quanshi, an expert in the field of electric vehicles and a professor at Tsinghua University, believes that the unsatisfactory demonstration results are normal. Prior to expectations, all circles ignored the difficulties in the industrialization of electric vehicles. “The Ten Cities and Thousands of Vehicles†originally wanted to find 10 economically developed cities in the country. Later, many cities saw this as a very good image project, and they only came in. It was not easy to find things when they were really implemented. Local finances need to invest a lot, but they also need to coordinate many aspects such as infrastructure and transportation."
Management vacuum In Chen Quanshi’s view, the difficulty of underestimating the city before the demonstration of the city and setting the target too high can be corrected according to the actual situation, as long as there is enthusiasm for the promotion of new energy vehicles. The crux of the problem is that after the demonstrative plan of the demonstration city has been approved, the demonstration and promotion work in various places is in the state of “sheeping sheep†and letting itself go.
“Ministry of Science and Technology, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Finance and other departments have all participated, but no one department has the final say in the demonstration of the 'Ten Thousands of Vehicles'. They don’t know who to ask if they have problems,†Chen Quanshi said.
Academician Yang Yusheng believes that the demonstrative projects in the “Ten Thousand Vehicles in Ten Cities†in 25 cities are even worse than those in the state of “sheeping goatsâ€. They are the heads of the dragons. After they have become demonstration cities, the progress of demonstration work in various places has been promoted according to the original approval plan. What problems are encountered, etc., Do not know what department to look for, and there is no government department to stand up and say that supervision should be strengthened.
The above-mentioned experts participating in the “Ten Cities Thousand Vehicles†survey revealed that at the beginning of 2011, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology was interested in conducting a mapping investigation of new energy vehicles. However, coordination between several departments has been coordinated and it has been delayed until the end of the year. Moreover, the purpose of this research is to respond more to the questions raised by the media and senior leaders during the 2012 SEF. According to the plan for the initial launch, 2012-2013 will be the closing phase of the first phase of the "Ten Cities One Thousand Vehicles" demonstration project.
Two experts, Chen Quanshi and Yang Yusheng, suggested that a unified command organization for the demonstration and promotion of electric vehicles should be set up to supervise the demonstration project of new energy vehicles, establish evaluation standards, evaluate the demonstration work in different cities, and score the survival of the fittest.
Experts involved in bottom-up investigations stated that the ten-year plan for new energy vehicles will be difficult to introduce and the attitude of local governments will begin to falter. In the end, it is mainly hybrid, or purely electric. The model cities also have different understandings.
At present, the way in which local governments participate in subsidy artificially separates the market, and demonstration projects are local enterprises' priorities. To a certain extent, it impedes the industrialization of new energy vehicles and the cultivation of industrial chains.
Experts are also very helpless about the serious local protectionism in the demonstration process. “Local finances need to support local companies.â€
The delay in the planning of the division of new energy automobile industry and the delay in the promotion of the “Ten Cities, One Thousand Vehicles†has already made some small and medium-sized enterprises that have actively participated in the boom of new energy vehicles “very injuredâ€. Fang Jianhua, general manager of Hefei Guoxuan High-tech Power Energy Co., Ltd., said that because the new energy vehicle plan was not introduced, Hefei Bus originally planned to purchase 300 pure electric buses. Originally, the company expects a breakthrough in the new energy bus service in 2011. As a result, a lot of research and development has been invested in the early stage, and the road to return to the present seems to be very long now.
Another person in charge of the private battery company for the industrialization of the betting electric vehicle also said that due to the development of the domestic new energy vehicle market in 2011 was far below expectations, the company’s 2011 days were “very badâ€.
The battery company also has its own opinion on the argument that the cost of new energy vehicles and the cost of batteries are too high. Li Zhongnan, the Henan Huanyu Group, who has been involved in the battery industry for more than 20 years, believes that demonstrative cities tend to protect local companies, which is not conducive to technological progress and the scale of mass production. At the same time, the lack of unified performance and technical standards for vehicle power batteries is not conducive to reducing battery costs. If you set a unified, clear standard, as long as the performance standards of the enterprise fair competition, the cost of the battery will not be as high as it is now, "Now the battery cost of electric vehicles is high, but there is a high ingredient."
Li Middle East said that the current electric vehicle industry is "one hot", that is, from the industrial chain to the application, the higher the enthusiasm is, the lower the enthusiasm is. A large number of battery companies flocked to the market, while large-scale car companies saw it.
Private enterprises have expressed their injuries. Compared with the forum's call for the government to introduce planning and unified coordination, large-scale state-owned enterprises are “calming†many.
On January 11th, Changan Automobile released the collision test result of the pure electric E30 in Beijing. This purely electric vehicle to be mass produced was tested at the China Automotive Technology and Research Center according to the C-NCAP collision standard and achieved five-star results.
From 2007, the first production hybrid Jeffrey to the first domestic electric car to conduct real vehicle crash tests, Changan has been very active in the R&D investment of new energy vehicles. However, in the demonstration promotion, Changan did not harvest too much. According to Chen Ping, deputy general manager and chief engineer of Chang'an New Energy Automobile Co., Ltd., Chang’an’s new energy vehicles have sold more than 500 vehicles in total, with the medium-duty hybrid model Jie Xun as the the Lord. The pure electric car, this year began to really put on the market, will invest 100 E30 pure electric vehicles in the Fangshan area of ​​Beijing as a taxi operation.
As early as in 2009, when Chongqing City took the lead in launching a demonstration project for new energy vehicles, it had high-profiled that it would purchase more than 1,000 Changan new energy vehicles. However, the news that Chang’an hybrid Jie Xun stopped production shows that the government did not fulfill its original commitment. Changan Automobile’s insider privately stated that the government's demonstration work had encountered difficulties and was different from what was initially envisaged, and therefore it has also been adjusted.
BYD’s insider also stated that BYD’s electric vehicles have not entered Shenzhen’s cities outside of Shenzhen, and they are interested in protecting local companies and procrastinating the local enterprise’s products before they are measured.
The above experts analyzed that these large companies were “not rushing†because they knew that even if the initial progress was unsatisfactory, in the future, once they were started, the first to be taken care of was the regular army such as the state-owned enterprises.
“40% is already an overestimated figure, and 30% of actual completion is satisfactory.†An industry expert who participated in a survey of new energy vehicle demonstration cities organized by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said that although demonstration cities have expressed In 2012, he wants to increase horsepower to promote electric vehicles, but he thinks it is very difficult.
At the forum, Yang Yusheng, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, stated that the “Energy Conservation and New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan (2011-2020)†that the State Council met and discussed shortly before was still not approved, and further revisions are required.
The unsatisfactory demonstration projects of the early stage, the hesitation of the central government's attitude, and the repeated delays in the overall guidance and planning caused the demonstration projects of the “10 cities and 1,000 vehicles†energy-saving and new energy vehicles started in 2008 to reach the intersection. “Whether it is the attitude of the central government, the enthusiasm of local governments to participate in, or the maturity of product technology and the follow-up of infrastructure and facilities, there is great uncertainty,†said the industry expert.
Demonstration performance is not ideal The demonstration project of “10 cities and 1,000 vehicles†energy-saving and new energy vehicles started at the end of 2008 has undergone the 2009-2010 participation in the city's vigorous launch ceremony and the establishment of a new energy automobile industry alliance, and it has actually been implemented in 2011. But it cooled down.
Before the discussion session of the “Global New Energy Vehicle Conference†began, the host conducted a random survey at the site to investigate the participants’ satisfaction with the progress of the new energy automobile industry in the past year. As a result, about 60% of the people were dissatisfied with the choice.
The survey results of the 2011 China New Energy Bus Demonstration Operation Survey also showed that in the 25 cities participating in the demonstration of energy-saving and new energy vehicles, nearly 20,000 new energy vehicles had been declared and promoted at the beginning, and the actual number of new energy vehicles was only about 6,500. The target completion rate is only 38%. And of the more than 6,000 vehicles put into operation, most of them are hybrid buses, and the proportion of pure electric buses is very low.
According to the report, by the end of 2011, only five demonstration sites in Shanghai, Hangzhou, Shenzhen, Hefei (in early December, 1,000 new energy vehicles were put into emergency use) and Changsha, Zhuzhou and Xiangtan areas had completed the promotion of 1,100 new energy vehicles. Of these, only Shanghai and Shenzhen have long maintained a level of over 1,000 new energy vehicles on the road. The promotion of 15 cities is less than that of Linyi City, Shandong Province, which is not within the range of “Ten Cities and 1000 Vehiclesâ€.
The survey found that the subsidy intensity of energy-saving and new energy vehicles varies greatly among demonstration cities, and the subsidies for new energy vehicles in cities such as Shenyang, Nantong, Hefei, and Dalian are higher than those of the central government, and they even bear state subsidies. The cost of all the components of the model; and some demonstration cities have almost no contribution to the purchase of new energy vehicles, such as local finance, such as Tianjin, there is no local subsidies for the purchase of new energy vehicles, Hangzhou, the proportion of subsidies for the purchase of new energy bus local finance is only the state financial subsidies 6%; In some regions such as Chengdu and Hohhot, only purchase intentions have been reached at present, and no explicit local government subsidy measures have yet been established.
The survey results also show that local protectionism is very serious in the demonstration and promotion of energy-saving and new energy vehicles. Demonstration of operating cities, new energy bus procurement is mostly local government-led, not open enough, 25 of the model cities, nearly half of the cities directly designated procurement of local vehicle products. Where bidding is used, the bidding method is not transparent and transparent, and local enterprises are often given priority.
The above experts participating in the “Ten City Thousand Vehicles†demonstration city survey showed that the actual situation is more optimistic than the report shows. Not only the target completion rate is low, but also the product reliability, operation methods, and replacement of supporting infrastructure are all aspects. Many problems have been discovered. "We did not discover until the specific demonstration operation. There are still many problems to be solved in order to bring new energy vehicles to market."
Chen Quanshi, an expert in the field of electric vehicles and a professor at Tsinghua University, believes that the unsatisfactory demonstration results are normal. Prior to expectations, all circles ignored the difficulties in the industrialization of electric vehicles. “The Ten Cities and Thousands of Vehicles†originally wanted to find 10 economically developed cities in the country. Later, many cities saw this as a very good image project, and they only came in. It was not easy to find things when they were really implemented. Local finances need to invest a lot, but they also need to coordinate many aspects such as infrastructure and transportation."
Management vacuum In Chen Quanshi’s view, the difficulty of underestimating the city before the demonstration of the city and setting the target too high can be corrected according to the actual situation, as long as there is enthusiasm for the promotion of new energy vehicles. The crux of the problem is that after the demonstrative plan of the demonstration city has been approved, the demonstration and promotion work in various places is in the state of “sheeping sheep†and letting itself go.
“Ministry of Science and Technology, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Finance and other departments have all participated, but no one department has the final say in the demonstration of the 'Ten Thousands of Vehicles'. They don’t know who to ask if they have problems,†Chen Quanshi said.
Academician Yang Yusheng believes that the demonstrative projects in the “Ten Thousand Vehicles in Ten Cities†in 25 cities are even worse than those in the state of “sheeping goatsâ€. They are the heads of the dragons. After they have become demonstration cities, the progress of demonstration work in various places has been promoted according to the original approval plan. What problems are encountered, etc., Do not know what department to look for, and there is no government department to stand up and say that supervision should be strengthened.
The above-mentioned experts participating in the “Ten Cities Thousand Vehicles†survey revealed that at the beginning of 2011, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology was interested in conducting a mapping investigation of new energy vehicles. However, coordination between several departments has been coordinated and it has been delayed until the end of the year. Moreover, the purpose of this research is to respond more to the questions raised by the media and senior leaders during the 2012 SEF. According to the plan for the initial launch, 2012-2013 will be the closing phase of the first phase of the "Ten Cities One Thousand Vehicles" demonstration project.
Two experts, Chen Quanshi and Yang Yusheng, suggested that a unified command organization for the demonstration and promotion of electric vehicles should be set up to supervise the demonstration project of new energy vehicles, establish evaluation standards, evaluate the demonstration work in different cities, and score the survival of the fittest.
Experts involved in bottom-up investigations stated that the ten-year plan for new energy vehicles will be difficult to introduce and the attitude of local governments will begin to falter. In the end, it is mainly hybrid, or purely electric. The model cities also have different understandings.
At present, the way in which local governments participate in subsidy artificially separates the market, and demonstration projects are local enterprises' priorities. To a certain extent, it impedes the industrialization of new energy vehicles and the cultivation of industrial chains.
Experts are also very helpless about the serious local protectionism in the demonstration process. “Local finances need to support local companies.â€
The delay in the planning of the division of new energy automobile industry and the delay in the promotion of the “Ten Cities, One Thousand Vehicles†has already made some small and medium-sized enterprises that have actively participated in the boom of new energy vehicles “very injuredâ€. Fang Jianhua, general manager of Hefei Guoxuan High-tech Power Energy Co., Ltd., said that because the new energy vehicle plan was not introduced, Hefei Bus originally planned to purchase 300 pure electric buses. Originally, the company expects a breakthrough in the new energy bus service in 2011. As a result, a lot of research and development has been invested in the early stage, and the road to return to the present seems to be very long now.
Another person in charge of the private battery company for the industrialization of the betting electric vehicle also said that due to the development of the domestic new energy vehicle market in 2011 was far below expectations, the company’s 2011 days were “very badâ€.
The battery company also has its own opinion on the argument that the cost of new energy vehicles and the cost of batteries are too high. Li Zhongnan, the Henan Huanyu Group, who has been involved in the battery industry for more than 20 years, believes that demonstrative cities tend to protect local companies, which is not conducive to technological progress and the scale of mass production. At the same time, the lack of unified performance and technical standards for vehicle power batteries is not conducive to reducing battery costs. If you set a unified, clear standard, as long as the performance standards of the enterprise fair competition, the cost of the battery will not be as high as it is now, "Now the battery cost of electric vehicles is high, but there is a high ingredient."
Li Middle East said that the current electric vehicle industry is "one hot", that is, from the industrial chain to the application, the higher the enthusiasm is, the lower the enthusiasm is. A large number of battery companies flocked to the market, while large-scale car companies saw it.
Private enterprises have expressed their injuries. Compared with the forum's call for the government to introduce planning and unified coordination, large-scale state-owned enterprises are “calming†many.
On January 11th, Changan Automobile released the collision test result of the pure electric E30 in Beijing. This purely electric vehicle to be mass produced was tested at the China Automotive Technology and Research Center according to the C-NCAP collision standard and achieved five-star results.
From 2007, the first production hybrid Jeffrey to the first domestic electric car to conduct real vehicle crash tests, Changan has been very active in the R&D investment of new energy vehicles. However, in the demonstration promotion, Changan did not harvest too much. According to Chen Ping, deputy general manager and chief engineer of Chang'an New Energy Automobile Co., Ltd., Chang’an’s new energy vehicles have sold more than 500 vehicles in total, with the medium-duty hybrid model Jie Xun as the the Lord. The pure electric car, this year began to really put on the market, will invest 100 E30 pure electric vehicles in the Fangshan area of ​​Beijing as a taxi operation.
As early as in 2009, when Chongqing City took the lead in launching a demonstration project for new energy vehicles, it had high-profiled that it would purchase more than 1,000 Changan new energy vehicles. However, the news that Chang’an hybrid Jie Xun stopped production shows that the government did not fulfill its original commitment. Changan Automobile’s insider privately stated that the government's demonstration work had encountered difficulties and was different from what was initially envisaged, and therefore it has also been adjusted.
BYD’s insider also stated that BYD’s electric vehicles have not entered Shenzhen’s cities outside of Shenzhen, and they are interested in protecting local companies and procrastinating the local enterprise’s products before they are measured.
The above experts analyzed that these large companies were “not rushing†because they knew that even if the initial progress was unsatisfactory, in the future, once they were started, the first to be taken care of was the regular army such as the state-owned enterprises.
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